Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.179835 3.703321 4.299223 5.030548 5.907650 6.930408 8.220062
2025-02-09 2.471202 3.163070 4.041139 5.249854 6.890125 9.066823 12.221587
2025-02-16 2.063443 2.807371 3.821135 5.328308 7.554849 10.791889 15.983757
2025-02-23 1.797873 2.567770 3.678587 5.437278 8.225657 12.606215 20.279560
2025-03-02 1.562169 2.321147 3.468754 5.383403 8.605997 14.017705 24.260226
2025-03-09 1.409585 2.170396 3.370710 5.471970 9.210947 15.898135 29.534463
2025-03-16 1.259095 1.998571 3.208595 5.417241 9.544336 17.352313 34.389158
2025-03-23 1.139757 1.859956 3.078464 5.390197 9.912031 18.934270 39.945976
2025-03-30 1.026621 1.716634 2.919038 5.280158 10.092793 20.172411 45.106191
2025-04-06 0.958222 1.642268 2.870603 5.369418 10.684808 22.398019 53.294511
2025-04-13 0.870437 1.522594 2.723269 5.239274 10.788030 23.559030 59.177194
2025-04-20 0.839519 1.503781 2.762902 5.494991 11.784291 27.035804 72.563995
2025-04-27 0.788920 1.451658 2.750263 5.683208 12.779717 31.079813 90.346741
2025-05-04 0.744928 1.409163 2.756144 5.928431 14.019271 36.306759 115.231420
2025-05-11 0.692836 1.342600 2.700445 6.018967 14.891331 40.840848 140.668786
2025-05-18 0.649684 1.288455 2.662600 6.144241 15.894717 46.169590 172.886993
2025-05-25 0.598126 1.209699 2.558215 6.082291 16.356648 49.978320 201.745895
2025-06-01 0.563268 1.162864 2.519776 6.184140 17.337904 55.977577 245.595661
2025-06-08 0.522060 1.096820 2.426739 6.121200 17.795781 60.319868 285.244130
2025-06-15 0.487044 1.040807 2.350208 6.090102 18.355086 65.333058 333.576115
2025-06-22 0.450604 0.977406 2.247030 5.963603 18.562727 69.061226 378.409779
2025-06-29 0.428990 0.946745 2.222534 6.066211 19.615865 76.948191 459.519497
2025-07-06 0.397706 0.889335 2.121444 5.916617 19.707119 80.590970 515.577620